Praviano vs Lealtad: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santa Catalina, Pravia
The Footlab model makes Praviano the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Lealtad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Praviano vs Lealtad?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Praviano (1,717) and Lealtad (1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Praviano have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Lealtad have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | L'Entregu(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Colunga(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Mosconia(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Caudal(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 4-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Praviano win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Lealtad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Lealtad 1-1 Praviano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Praviano 0-0 Lealtad | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Praviano 1-2 Lealtad | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Lealtad 0-0 Praviano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Lealtad 0-0 Praviano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Praviano 2-2 Lealtad | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Praviano score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lealtad score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Praviano | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Lealtad | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Praviano | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 42 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Praviano vs Lealtad?
- The Footlab model makes Praviano the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Lealtad.
- Where and when is Praviano vs Lealtad played?
- Praviano vs Lealtad is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santa Catalina, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.