Match

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Conquense: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, Segovia

Gimnástica SegovianaConquense

The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Conquense. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Conquense?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Gimnástica Segoviana (1,843) and Conquense (1,911).

Gimnástica Segoviana win38 %
Draw28 %
Conquense win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Segoviana have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Conquense have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gimnástica Segoviana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Atlético Madrid II(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Valladolid(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Conquense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 31, 2026UD Ourense(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026Xerez(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026Xerez(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Real Madrid III(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Conquense score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gimnástica Segoviana0.81.336/156/15
Conquense1.10.965/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Conquense3416126423060

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Conquense?
The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Conquense.
Where and when is Gimnástica Segoviana vs Conquense played?
Gimnástica Segoviana vs Conquense is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Gimnástica Segoviana and Conquense

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