CF Talavera vs Conquense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina
The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Conquense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CF Talavera vs Conquense?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate CF Talavera (1,897) and Conquense (1,910).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Talavera have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Conquense have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Illescas(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Cacereño(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Xerez(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 CF Talavera win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Conquense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Conquense 1-0 CF Talavera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | CF Talavera 1-0 Conquense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Conquense vs CF Talavera on Mar 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
CF Talavera score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Conquense score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Talavera | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Conquense | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Conquense | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 42 | 30 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CF Talavera vs Conquense?
- The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Conquense.
- Where and when is CF Talavera vs Conquense played?
- CF Talavera vs Conquense is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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