Match

CF Talavera vs Conquense: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina

CF TalaveraConquense

The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Conquense. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CF Talavera vs Conquense?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate CF Talavera (1,897) and Conquense (1,910).

CF Talavera win42 %
Draw28 %
Conquense win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Talavera have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Conquense have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CF Talavera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Getafe II(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026Illescas(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Cacereño(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Ourense CF(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026Osasuna II(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Conquense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 31, 2026UD Ourense(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026Xerez(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026Xerez(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Real Madrid III(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 CF Talavera win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Conquense win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2025Conquense 1-0 CF TalaveraSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 16, 2024CF Talavera 1-0 ConquenseSegunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Conquense vs CF Talavera on Mar 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

CF Talavera score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Conquense score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CF Talavera0.90.949/156/15
Conquense1.10.965/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Conquense3416126423060

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CF Talavera vs Conquense?
The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Conquense.
Where and when is CF Talavera vs Conquense played?
CF Talavera vs Conquense is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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