Girona II vs Ebro: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Camp de Futbol Torres de Palau, Girona
The Footlab model makes Girona II the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Ebro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Girona II vs Ebro?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Girona II (1,896) and Ebro (1,908).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Girona II have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ebro have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Torrent(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Espanyol II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Terrassa(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Huesca II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Utebo(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Beasain(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Girona II score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ebro score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona II | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Ebro | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ebro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 42 | 36 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Girona II vs Ebro?
- The Footlab model makes Girona II the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Ebro.
- Where and when is Girona II vs Ebro played?
- Girona II vs Ebro is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Camp de Futbol Torres de Palau, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.