Match

UD Logroñés II vs Utebo: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Mundial 82, Logroño

UD Logroñés IIUtebo

The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés II the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Utebo. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win UD Logroñés II vs Utebo?

UD Logroñés II starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (2,052 vs 1,908).

UD Logroñés II win60 %
Draw24 %
Utebo win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Logroñés II have 14 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Utebo have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

UD Logroñés II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Peña Balsamaiso(away)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
May 3, 2026Autol(home)8-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Apr 26, 2026Berceo(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Apr 19, 2026Yagüe(away)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Apr 12, 2026Oyonesa(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Utebo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 29, 2026Zaragoza(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Águilas(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Águilas(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Sestao River(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Ebro(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 UD Logroñés II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Utebo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 12, 2023Utebo 0-0 UD Logroñés IISegunda División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 23, 2022UD Logroñés II 3-2 UteboSegunda División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Utebo vs UD Logroñés II on Mar 12, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

UD Logroñés II score 4.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Utebo score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
UD Logroñés II4.10.778/1512/15
Utebo1.31.3211/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Utebo3417710564258

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for UD Logroñés II vs Utebo?
The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés II the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Utebo.
Where and when is UD Logroñés II vs Utebo played?
UD Logroñés II vs Utebo is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Mundial 82, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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