Gnistan vs VPS: prediction and stats
VeikkausliigaChampionship Group - 32Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki
The Footlab AI model makes Gnistan the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for VPS. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gnistan wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gnistan vs VPS?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Gnistan (1,691) and VPS (1,658).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gnistan vs VPS
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gnistan
5-4-1- 10J. Latonen
- 31A. Jouhi
- 26R. Eremenko
- 15G. Europaeus
- 23S. Ylätupa
- 3Ruxi
- 19B. Milovanov
- 67A. Obileye
- 14S. Eremenko
- 11D. Pérez
- 1O. Virtanen
VPS
3-4-1-2- 20X. Odhiambo
- 29W. Samaké
- 7J. Turfkruier
- 8Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima
- 13Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
- 34A. Räisänen
- 27K. Kouassivi-Benissan
- 6E. Okereke
- 2L. Mane
- 23M. Niemi
- 41M. Jalloh
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gnistan have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; VPS have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 3-4 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | KuPS(away) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | AC Oulu(home) | 3-4 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 0-4 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 12, 2026 | VPS(away) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 0-4 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | AC Oulu(away) | 0-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | KuPS(away) | 0-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Gnistan(home) | 1-0 | Veikkausliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gnistan win, 4 draws, 1 VPS win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | VPS 1-0 Gnistan | Veikkausliiga |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Gnistan 1-1 VPS | Veikkausliiga |
| May 9, 2026 | VPS 1-1 Gnistan | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Gnistan 0-0 VPS | Veikkausliiga |
| Jun 18, 2025 | VPS 0-0 Gnistan | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 23, 2024 | VPS 0-1 Gnistan | Veikkausliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Gnistan score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; VPS score 0.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gnistan | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| VPS | 0.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gnistan sit 5th in Veikkausliiga (43 points from 31 matches) and VPS sit 6th (40 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Gnistan | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 47 | 46 | 43 |
| 6 | VPS | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 31 | 38 | 40 |
A question about Gnistan vs VPS?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gnistan vs VPS?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gnistan the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for VPS.
- Where and when is Gnistan vs VPS played?
- Gnistan vs VPS is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Mustapekka Areena, in the Veikkausliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.