HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu: prediction and stats
VeikkausliigaChampionship Group - 32Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bolt Arena, Helsinki
The Footlab AI model makes HJK Helsinki the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for AC Oulu. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu?
HJK Helsinki starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,857 vs 1,710).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
HJK Helsinki
4-2-3-1- 20T. Pukki
- 7Alfie Cicale
- 4A. Ring
- 9M. Borchers
- 29S. Haarala
- 8P. Mentu
- 31M. Bogićević
- 17N. Alho
- 14L. Montano
- 6V. Tikkanen
- 30J. Samooja
AC Oulu
4-4-2- 7R. Karjalainen
- 10C. Triana
- 25M. Arsalo
- 21I. Mendolin
- 27E. Kallio
- 36J. Lotvonen
- 66J. Pirinen
- 16O. Kemppainen
- 22T. Kaukua
- 5M. Pitkänen
- 13Miguel Santos
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HJK Helsinki have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; AC Oulu have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | VPS(away) | 4-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 4-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 2-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gnistan(home) | 4-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 12, 2026 | AC Oulu(away) | 4-3 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 2-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | VPS(home) | 0-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Gnistan(away) | 4-3 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 2-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 12, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 3-4 | Veikkausliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 HJK Helsinki wins, 0 draws, 2 AC Oulu wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | AC Oulu 3-4 HJK Helsinki | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AC Oulu 0-1 HJK Helsinki | Veikkausliiga |
| Apr 11, 2026 | HJK Helsinki 0-1 AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga |
| Mar 14, 2026 | AC Oulu 2-1 HJK Helsinki | League Cup |
| Aug 21, 2025 | HJK Helsinki 1-0 AC Oulu | Suomen Cup |
| Jul 20, 2025 | HJK Helsinki 3-1 AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga |
Last archived meeting: AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki on Oct 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
HJK Helsinki score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AC Oulu score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HJK Helsinki | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| AC Oulu | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HJK Helsinki sit 1st in Veikkausliiga (58 points from 31 matches) and AC Oulu sit 4th (47 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 36 | 58 |
| 4 | AC Oulu | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 47 |
A question about HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu?
- The Footlab AI model makes HJK Helsinki the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for AC Oulu.
- Where and when is HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu played?
- HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bolt Arena, in the Veikkausliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.