Goa vs Minerva Punjab: result 1-0 and analysis
Indian Super LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on October 2, 2023 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Margao
Full time
What was the result of Goa vs Minerva Punjab?
Goa won 1-0 on October 2, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 17′Carlos MartínezGoa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Minerva Punjab have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2023 | ATK Mohun Bagan(away) | 1-0 | AIFF Super Cup |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Gokulam(away) | 1-0 | AIFF Super Cup |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Jamshedpur(home) | 3-5 | AIFF Super Cup |
| Feb 23, 2023 | Bengaluru(away) | 1-3 | Indian Super League |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Maharashtra(home) | 0-2 | Santosh Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | ATK Mohun Bagan(away) | 1-3 | Indian Super League |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Kerala Blasters(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Chatham Town(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2023 | Sporting Khalsa(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2023 | Cray Valley PM(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Goa score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Minerva Punjab score 2.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goa | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Minerva Punjab | 2.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Goa sit 7th in Indian Super League (20 points from 13 matches) and Minerva Punjab sit 6th (22 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Minerva Punjab | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 22 |
| 7 | Goa | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 20 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy