Goa vs Mumbai City: prediction and stats
Indian Super LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Margao
The Footlab AI model makes Mumbai City the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Goa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mumbai City wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,953 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Goa vs Mumbai City?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Goa (1,543) and Mumbai City (1,576).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Goa vs Mumbai City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Goa
4-4-2- 28F. Feuillassier
- 9Chiki
- 21U. Singh
- 5Álex Vallejo
- 44Muhammed Nemil Valiyattil
- 22P. Vishwas
- 3S. Jhingan
- 15Álex Zalaya
- 48Konsam Singh
- 14A. Sangwan
- 45B. Jackson
Mumbai City
4-4-2- 10B. Fernandes
- 20L. Otormín
- 8Sergio Llamas
- 92Noufal
- 45Z. Zothanpuia
- 6V. Pratap Singh
- 31A. Mishra
- 3H. Ralte
- 5Carlos Delgado
- 4L. Ćirković
- 23R. Paramba
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 02:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goa have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Mumbai City have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Fortis(away) | 2-1 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 1-2 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chennaiyin(home) | 1-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dempo(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Arkadag(away) | 0-3 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Minerva Punjab(away) | 1-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Churchill Brothers(away) | 1-2 | Indian Super League |
| May 21, 2026 | Minerva Punjab(away) | 2-0 | Indian Super League |
| May 15, 2026 | Mohammedan(away) | 4-0 | Indian Super League |
| May 5, 2026 | East Bengal II(home) | 1-2 | Indian Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Goa wins, 0 draws, 3 Mumbai City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Goa 2-0 Mumbai City | Indian Super League |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Goa 2-1 Mumbai City | AIFF Super Cup |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Mumbai City 1-3 Goa | Indian Super League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Goa 1-2 Mumbai City | Indian Super League |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Mumbai City 2-0 Goa | Indian Super League |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Goa 2-3 Mumbai City | Indian Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Goa score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mumbai City score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goa | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Mumbai City | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Goa sit 8th in Indian Super League (1 point from 1 match) and Mumbai City sit 10th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Goa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Mumbai City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Goa vs Mumbai City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Goa vs Mumbai City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mumbai City the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Goa.
- Where and when is Goa vs Mumbai City played?
- Goa vs Mumbai City is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, in the Indian Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.