Goiânia vs Morrinhos: prediction and stats
Goiano - 2Regular Season - 14Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Olímpico Pedro Ludovico Teixeira, Goiânia, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Goiânia the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Morrinhos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Goiânia vs Morrinhos?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Goiânia (1,586) and Morrinhos (1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goiânia have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Morrinhos have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bom Jesus EC(home) | 0-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Morrinhos(away) | 0-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Trindade(home) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tupy FC(away) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Crixás EC(home) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rio Verde(away) | 2-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Goiânia(home) | 2-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Goianésia(away) | 1-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Crixás EC(away) | 3-3 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mineiros(home) | 2-0 | Goiano - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Goiânia win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Morrinhos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Morrinhos 2-0 Goiânia | Goiano - 2 |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Morrinhos 1-1 Goiânia | Goiano - 1 |
| Jan 25, 2023 | Morrinhos 4-0 Goiânia | Goiano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Goiânia score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Morrinhos score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiânia | 0.8 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Morrinhos | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Goiânia sit 6th in Goiano - 2 (9 points from 7 matches) and Morrinhos sit 4th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Morrinhos | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Goiânia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Goiânia vs Morrinhos?
- The Footlab model makes Goiânia the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Morrinhos.
- Where and when is Goiânia vs Morrinhos played?
- Goiânia vs Morrinhos is played on September 23, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Olímpico Pedro Ludovico Teixeira, in the Goiano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.