Mineiros vs Tupy FC: prediction and stats
Goiano - 2Regular Season - 14Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Odilon Flores, Mineiros, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Mineiros the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Tupy FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mineiros vs Tupy FC?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Mineiros (1,670) and Tupy FC (1,665).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mineiros have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tupy FC have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(away) | 0-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tupy FC(away) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rio Verde(home) | 1-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Goianésia(home) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Morrinhos(away) | 0-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crixás EC(away) | 1-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mineiros(home) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(away) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Goiânia(home) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Goianésia(away) | 0-1 | Goiano - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Mineiros win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Tupy FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tupy FC 1-1 Mineiros | Goiano - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mineiros score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tupy FC score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineiros | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tupy FC | 0.7 | 0.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mineiros sit 9th in Goiano - 2 (3 points from 7 matches) and Tupy FC sit 5th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tupy FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Mineiros | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mineiros vs Tupy FC?
- The Footlab model makes Mineiros the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Tupy FC.
- Where and when is Mineiros vs Tupy FC played?
- Mineiros vs Tupy FC is played on September 23, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Odilon Flores, in the Goiano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.