Match

Gölcükspor vs Fatsa Belediyespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gölcük İhsaniye Stadı, Gölcük

GölcüksporFatsa Belediyespor

The Footlab model makes Gölcükspor the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Fatsa Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gölcükspor vs Fatsa Belediyespor?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Gölcükspor (1,498) and Fatsa Belediyespor (1,547).

Gölcükspor win41 %
Draw28 %
Fatsa Belediyespor win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gölcükspor have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Fatsa Belediyespor have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gölcükspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2023Arnavutköy Belediyespor(away)1-2Türkiye Kupası
Oct 10, 2023Bursaspor(away)2-1Türkiye Kupası
Sep 27, 2023Bartınspor(home)3-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 17, 2023Gebzespor(home)2-0Türkiye Kupası
May 1, 2021Arhavispor(home)5-23. Lig - Group 3
Fatsa Belediyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 28, 2026Yeni Orduspor(away)1-43. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026Yeni Orduspor(home)1-33. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026Çayelispor(home)5-13. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026Amasyaspor 1968(away)0-13. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026Karabük İdman Yurdu(home)2-33. Lig - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Gölcükspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Fatsa Belediyespor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 10, 2019Gölcükspor 1-1 Fatsa Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 3
Oct 21, 2018Fatsa Belediyespor 2-0 Gölcükspor3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Gölcükspor vs Fatsa Belediyespor on Mar 10, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Gölcükspor score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Fatsa Belediyespor score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gölcükspor1.61.6210/1510/15
Fatsa Belediyespor1.11.738/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gölcükspor vs Fatsa Belediyespor?
The Footlab model makes Gölcükspor the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Fatsa Belediyespor.
Where and when is Gölcükspor vs Fatsa Belediyespor played?
Gölcükspor vs Fatsa Belediyespor is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gölcük İhsaniye Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Gölcükspor and Fatsa Belediyespor

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