GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United: result 1-2 and analysis
Shield CupFinalKick-off on June 29, 2025 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
Full time
What was the result of GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
Nairobi United won 1-2 on June 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 6′?Nairobi United
- 37′?GOR Mahia
- 73′?Nairobi United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GOR Mahia have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Nairobi United have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2025 | Police(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 3-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 2, 2025 | AFC Leopards(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 25, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(home) | 2-2 | Shield Cup |
| May 18, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2025 | Naivas(home) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Jun 14, 2025 | MOFA(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Assad(home) | 7-1 | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Mara Sugar(home) | 1-1 | Shield Cup |
| May 23, 2025 | 3K(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
GOR Mahia score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nairobi United score 1.6 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOR Mahia | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Nairobi United | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy