Posta Rangers FC vs Nairobi United: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Thika Municipal Stadium, Thika
The Footlab model makes Nairobi United the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Posta Rangers FC. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Posta Rangers FC vs Nairobi United?
Nairobi United starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,540 vs 1,414).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Posta Rangers FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Nairobi United have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | KCB(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 11, 2026 | Sofapaka(home) | 3-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Bandari(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Posta Rangers FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nairobi United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Nairobi United 2-2 Posta Rangers FC | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC 0-2 Nairobi United | Shield Cup |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Posta Rangers FC 2-0 Nairobi United | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Nairobi United vs Posta Rangers FC on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Posta Rangers FC score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nairobi United score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Posta Rangers FC | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Nairobi United | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Posta Rangers FC sit 15th in FKF Premier League (40 points from 34 matches) and Nairobi United sit 4th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 53 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers FC | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31 | 40 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Posta Rangers FC vs Nairobi United?
- The Footlab model makes Nairobi United the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Posta Rangers FC.
- Where and when is Posta Rangers FC vs Nairobi United played?
- Posta Rangers FC vs Nairobi United is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Thika Municipal Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.