Górnik Łęczna vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bogdanka Arena, Łęczna
The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Górnik Łęczna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Górnik Łęczna vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,981 vs 1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Łęczna have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Zawisza Bydgoszcz have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(home) | 5-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zawisza Bydgoszcz score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Łęczna | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Górnik Łęczna sit 8th in II Liga - East (7 points from 5 matches) and Zawisza Bydgoszcz sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Górnik Łęczna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Górnik Łęczna vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
- The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Górnik Łęczna.
- Where and when is Górnik Łęczna vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz played?
- Górnik Łęczna vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bogdanka Arena, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Sandecja Nowy SączvsTychy 71
- Apr 3, 2027Olimpia GrudziądzvsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Apr 3, 2027Hutnik KrakówvsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Apr 3, 2027Resovia RzeszówvsStal Stalowa Wola
- Apr 3, 2027Znicz PruszkówvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Apr 3, 2027Podhale Nowy TargvsLegia Warszawa II
- Apr 3, 2027Świt SkolwinvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Apr 3, 2027Avia ŚwidnikvsSokół Kleczew