Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Górnik Łęczna: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Zdzisława Krzyszkowiaka, Bydgoszcz
The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Górnik Łęczna. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Górnik Łęczna?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,981 vs 1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zawisza Bydgoszcz have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Górnik Łęczna have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(home) | 5-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Górnik Łęczna | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz sit 4th in II Liga - East (10 points from 5 matches) and Górnik Łęczna sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Górnik Łęczna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Górnik Łęczna?
- The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Górnik Łęczna.
- Where and when is Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Górnik Łęczna played?
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Górnik Łęczna is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Zdzisława Krzyszkowiaka, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Chojniczanka ChojnicevsOlimpia Grudziądz
- Sep 19, 2026Tychy 71vsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Sep 19, 2026Legia Warszawa IIvsPodhale Nowy Targ
- Sep 19, 2026Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsŚwit Skolwin
- Sep 19, 2026Stal Stalowa WolavsResovia Rzeszów
- Sep 19, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsHutnik Kraków
- Sep 19, 2026Lechia Zielona GóravsZnicz Pruszków
- Sep 19, 2026Sokół KleczewvsAvia Świdnik