Goytre United vs Caernarfon Town: result 0-4 and analysis
Welsh Cup3rd RoundKick-off on December 7, 2019 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Glenhafod Park Stadium, Goytre / Goetre, Neath Port Talbot
Full time
What was the result of Goytre United vs Caernarfon Town?
Caernarfon Town won 0-4 on December 7, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 20′D. ThomasCaernarfon Town
- 41′?Caernarfon Town
- 45′Nathan CraigCaernarfon Town (pen.)
- 45′D. ThomasCaernarfon Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goytre United have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2019 | Swansea University(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 29, 2019 | Briton Ferry(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 23, 2019 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 15, 2019 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 12, 2019 | Taffs Well(home) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2019 | Cardiff MET(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2019 | Newtown AFC(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2019 | Barry Town(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2019 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2019 | Cefn Druids AFC(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Goytre United score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goytre United | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy