Match

Gran Valencia vs UA Aragua: result 1-1 and analysis

Segunda DivisiónApertura - 3Kick-off on September 17, 2011 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Florentino Oropeza, San Felipe

Gran Valencia

1-1

UA Aragua

Full time

What was the result of Gran Valencia vs UA Aragua?

Gran Valencia and UA Aragua drew 1-1 on September 17, 2011.

What is the recent form of both teams?

In their last match in all competitions, Gran Valencia have 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats; UA Aragua have 0, 1 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gran Valencia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Sep 10, 2011	Caracas FC B(home)	1-1	Segunda División

UA Aragua
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Sep 11, 2011	Arroceros Calabozo(home)	2-2	Segunda División

How many goals should we expect?

Gran Valencia score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match in their last match; UA Aragua score 2.0 and concede 2.0.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gran Valencia	1.0	1.0	0	1/1	0/1
UA Aragua	2.0	2.0	0	1/1	1/1

Over the last match in all competitions.

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy