Match

Guatire vs Fundación Cesarger: result 1-0 and analysis

Segunda DivisiónApertura - 3Kick-off on September 18, 2011 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Nacional Brígido Iriarte, Caracas

Guatire

1-0

Fundación Cesarger

Full time

What was the result of Guatire vs Fundación Cesarger?

Guatire won 1-0 on September 18, 2011.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Guatire have 1 win, 1 draw and 0 defeats; Fundación Cesarger have 0, 1 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guatire
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Sep 10, 2011	Deportivo Anzoátegui II(away)	3-0	Segunda División
Aug 27, 2011	UCV(home)	3-3	Segunda División

Fundación Cesarger
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Sep 10, 2011	UCV(away)	2-2	Segunda División

How many goals should we expect?

Guatire score 3.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 2; Fundación Cesarger score 2.0 and concede 2.0.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Guatire	3.0	1.5	1	1/2	2/2
Fundación Cesarger	2.0	2.0	0	1/1	1/1

Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy