Granville vs Avranches: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 27Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Louis-Dior, Granville
The Footlab model makes Avranches the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Granville. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Granville vs Avranches?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Granville (1,692) and Avranches (1,749).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granville have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Avranches have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayonne(home) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Laval(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Chauray(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Avranches(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | La Roche VF(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Laval(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bordeaux(home) | 3-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Granville(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 3-3 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Granville win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Avranches win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Granville 1-1 Avranches | National 2 - Group A |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Avranches 1-1 Granville | National 2 - Group A |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Avranches 1-4 Granville | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Granville 0-1 Avranches | National 2 - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Granville vs Avranches on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Granville score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Avranches score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granville | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Avranches | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Granville sit 13th in National 2 - Group B (0 points from 1 matches) and Avranches sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avranches | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Granville | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Granville vs Avranches?
- The Footlab model makes Avranches the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Granville.
- Where and when is Granville vs Avranches played?
- Granville vs Avranches is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Louis-Dior, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.