Saint-Malo vs Chauray: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 27Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Marville, Saint-Malo
The Footlab model makes Saint-Malo the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Chauray. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saint-Malo vs Chauray?
Saint-Malo starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saint-Malo have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Chauray have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Montlouis(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Lorient II(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saint-Colomban Locminé(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lorient II(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Granville(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Poitiers(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Saint-Malo win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Chauray win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Chauray 0-1 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group A |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Saint-Malo 4-2 Chauray | National 2 - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Chauray vs Saint-Malo on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saint-Malo score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chauray score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint-Malo | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Chauray | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saint-Malo sit 8th in National 2 - Group B (1 points from 1 matches) and Chauray sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Saint-Malo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Chauray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saint-Malo vs Chauray?
- The Footlab model makes Saint-Malo the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Chauray.
- Where and when is Saint-Malo vs Chauray played?
- Saint-Malo vs Chauray is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Marville, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.