Grasshoppers vs FC Luzern: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Letzigrund, Zürich
The Footlab model makes FC Luzern the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Grasshoppers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grasshoppers vs FC Luzern?
FC Luzern starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grasshoppers have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; FC Luzern have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Regensdorf(away) | 5-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Servette FC(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Lugano(home) | 1-4 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lausanne(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SCR Altach(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lausanne(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Buochs(away) | 3-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Thun(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Grasshoppers win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 FC Luzern win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Grasshoppers 1-2 FC Luzern | Super League |
| Feb 10, 2026 | FC Luzern 4-3 Grasshoppers | Super League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | FC Luzern 6-0 Grasshoppers | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Grasshoppers 2-3 FC Luzern | Super League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Grasshoppers 3-1 FC Luzern | Super League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | FC Luzern 2-0 Grasshoppers | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Grasshoppers vs FC Luzern on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Grasshoppers score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Luzern score 2.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grasshoppers | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| FC Luzern | 2.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grasshoppers sit 11th in Super League (1 points from 3 matches) and FC Luzern sit 7th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Luzern | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grasshoppers vs FC Luzern?
- The Footlab model makes FC Luzern the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Grasshoppers.
- Where and when is Grasshoppers vs FC Luzern played?
- Grasshoppers vs FC Luzern is played on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Letzigrund, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.