FC Luzern vs FC ST. Gallen: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)swissporarena, Luzern
The Footlab model makes FC ST. Gallen the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for FC Luzern. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Luzern vs FC ST. Gallen?
FC ST. Gallen starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (2,049 vs 1,945).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Luzern have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; FC ST. Gallen have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lausanne(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Buochs(away) | 3-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Thun(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Thalwil(away) | 3-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Sheriff Tiraspol(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Luzern(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Sheriff Tiraspol(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Luzern win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 FC ST. Gallen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen 2-2 FC Luzern | Super League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | FC Luzern 2-2 FC ST. Gallen | Super League |
| Feb 1, 2026 | FC Luzern 2-2 FC ST. Gallen | Super League |
| Aug 24, 2025 | FC ST. Gallen 0-1 FC Luzern | Super League |
| Apr 3, 2025 | FC Luzern 1-1 FC ST. Gallen | Super League |
| Feb 2, 2025 | FC Luzern 2-0 FC ST. Gallen | Super League |
Last archived meeting: FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Luzern score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FC ST. Gallen score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Luzern | 2.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| FC ST. Gallen | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Luzern sit 7th in Super League (4 points from 4 matches) and FC ST. Gallen sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC ST. Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | FC Luzern | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Luzern vs FC ST. Gallen?
- The Footlab model makes FC ST. Gallen the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for FC Luzern.
- Where and when is FC Luzern vs FC ST. Gallen played?
- FC Luzern vs FC ST. Gallen is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at swissporarena, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.