Gravina vs Brindisi: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Stefano Vicino, Gravina in Puglia
The Footlab AI model makes Gravina the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Brindisi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gravina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gravina vs Brindisi?
On Elo ratings, Gravina has 1,747 points and Brindisi 1,702.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gravina vs Brindisi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gravina
Not enough data to predict the Gravina lineup.
Brindisi
4-3-3- 44Mattia Pagliuca
- 29M. Trotta
- 7D. Vantaggiato
- 10D. Petrucci
- 36Carlo Martorelli
- 73N. Bagatti
- 17G. Pinto
- 33L. Falbo
- 3N. Monti
- 27M. Calderoni
- 22I. Saio
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gravina have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Brindisi have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nardò(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Normanna(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nocerina(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Francavilla(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gravina wins, 2 draws, 2 Brindisi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Brindisi 2-2 Gravina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Gravina 2-0 Brindisi | Serie D - Girone H |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Brindisi 3-1 Gravina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Gravina 1-1 Brindisi | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Brindisi 1-0 Gravina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Gravina 2-1 Brindisi | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Gravina score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Brindisi score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravina | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Brindisi | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gravina sit 6th in Serie D - Girone H (12 points from 7 matches) and Brindisi sit 7th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gravina | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 12 |
| 7 | Brindisi | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
A question about Gravina vs Brindisi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gravina vs Brindisi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gravina the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Brindisi.
- Where and when is Gravina vs Brindisi played?
- Gravina vs Brindisi is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Stefano Vicino, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.