Nardò vs Manfredonia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Heffort Sport Village, Parabita
The Footlab AI model makes Nardò the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Manfredonia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nardò wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nardò vs Manfredonia?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Nardò (1,699) and Manfredonia (1,676).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nardò vs Manfredonia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nardò
Not enough data to predict the Nardò lineup.
Manfredonia
Not enough data to predict the Manfredonia lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nardò have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Manfredonia have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gravina(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | USD Palmese(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Martina Franca(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ischia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Melfi(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Turris(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bisceglie(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ebolitana(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nardò wins, 2 draws, 2 Manfredonia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nardò 2-0 Manfredonia | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Manfredonia 1-1 Nardò | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Nardò 0-1 Manfredonia | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Manfredonia 1-3 Nardò | Serie D - Girone H |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Manfredonia 1-0 Nardò | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Nardò 1-1 Manfredonia | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Nardò score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Manfredonia score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nardò | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Manfredonia | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nardò sit 15th in Serie D - Girone H (6 points from 7 matches) and Manfredonia sit 8th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Manfredonia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 15 | Nardò | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Nardò vs Manfredonia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nardò vs Manfredonia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nardò the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Manfredonia.
- Where and when is Nardò vs Manfredonia played?
- Nardò vs Manfredonia is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Heffort Sport Village, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.