Grays Athletic vs Aylesbury: result 2-1 and analysis
FA TrophyPreliminary RoundKick-off on September 15, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex
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What was the result of Grays Athletic vs Aylesbury?
Grays Athletic won 2-1 on September 15, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Grays Athletic have 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Aylesbury have 0, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2012 | Norwich United(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Takeley(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Canvey Island(home) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Whyteleafe(away) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 12, 2011 | Waltham Abbey(home) | 4-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2012 | Windsor(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 25, 2011 | Tiverton Town(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Tiverton Town(home) | 0-0 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Grays Athletic score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 7; Aylesbury score 0.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grays Athletic | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 4/7 | 5/7 |
| Aylesbury | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
A question about Grays Athletic vs Aylesbury?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy