Heybridge Swifts vs Worthing: result 4-1 and analysis
FA TrophyPreliminary RoundKick-off on September 15, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)First Call Community Stadium, Maldon, Essex
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What was the result of Heybridge Swifts vs Worthing?
Heybridge Swifts won 4-1 on September 15, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Heybridge Swifts have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Worthing have 5, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2012 | AFC Sudbury(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 28, 2012 | Felixstowe & Walton Utd(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Felixstowe & Walton Utd(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Potters Bar Town(away) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Lowestoft Town(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2012 | Thamesmead Town(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Rye United(home) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Didcot Town(home) | 0-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 25, 2011 | Bashley(home) | 4-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Bashley(away) | 2-2 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Heybridge Swifts score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 5; Worthing score 1.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heybridge Swifts | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Worthing | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 5/11 | 5/11 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
A question about Heybridge Swifts vs Worthing?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy