Heybridge Swifts vs Worthing: result 4-1 and analysis
FA TrophyPreliminary RoundKick-off on September 15, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)First Call Community Stadium, Maldon, Essex
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What was the result of Heybridge Swifts vs Worthing?
Heybridge Swifts won 4-1 on September 15, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Heybridge Swifts have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Worthing have 5, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2012 | AFC Sudbury(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 28, 2012 | Felixstowe & Walton Utd(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Felixstowe & Walton Utd(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Potters Bar Town(away) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Lowestoft Town(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2012 | Thamesmead Town(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Rye United(home) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Didcot Town(home) | 0-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 25, 2011 | Bashley(home) | 4-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Bashley(away) | 2-2 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Heybridge Swifts score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 5; Worthing score 1.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heybridge Swifts | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Worthing | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 5/11 | 5/11 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy