Grêmio Barueri vs Guaratinguetá: result 2-3 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 22, 2012 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Prefeito José Liberatti, Osasco, São Paulo
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What was the result of Grêmio Barueri vs Guaratinguetá?
Guaratinguetá won 2-3 on August 22, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 34′Henrique Dias de CarvalhoGrêmio Barueri
- 43′AlemãoGuaratinguetá
- 57′AlemãoGuaratinguetá
- 83′Leandro SilvaGrêmio Barueri (o.g.)
- 89′234495Guaratinguetá (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grêmio Barueri have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Guaratinguetá have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2012 | Avai(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2012 | Goias(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Ceara(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2012 | CRB(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 1, 2012 | America-RN(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2012 | Ipatinga(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2012 | Vitoria(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Joinville(home) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2012 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 1, 2012 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Grêmio Barueri score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Guaratinguetá score 0.7 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio Barueri | 0.8 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Guaratinguetá | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy