São Caetano vs Guarani Campinas: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 25, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Anacleto Campanella, São Caetano do Sul, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of São Caetano vs Guarani Campinas?
Guarani Campinas won 1-2 on August 25, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 20′Éder Marcelo PrudêncioSão Caetano
- 64′José Fernando FumagalliGuarani Campinas (pen.)
- 85′Rodrigo Antônio Magalhães Alves PereiraGuarani Campinas
Official lineup for São Caetano vs Guarani Campinas
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
São Caetano
- LLeandro Costa Miranda Moraes
- DDanielzinho
- ÉÉder Marcelo Prudêncio
- PPedro Carmona
- MMoradei
- WWagner Luiz Fogolari
- GGabriel Valongo da Silva
- SSamuel Xavier
- DDiego Correa
- AAugusto Recife
- LLuiz Silva
Guarani Campinas
- CCleber Schwenck Tiene
- DDanilo Sacramento
- AAdemir Burato
- JJackson Mauricio Silva Feitosa
- RRafinha
- RRodrigo Antônio Magalhães Alves Pereira
- FFernando Santos
- OOziel França da Silva
- FFábio Bahia
- AAlex da Silva Barros
- EEmerson José da Conceição
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São Caetano have 8 wins, 7 draws and 0 defeats; Guarani Campinas have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2012 | Goias(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2012 | BOA(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Criciuma(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2012 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 1, 2012 | Vitoria(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2012 | CRB(home) | 4-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2012 | Avai(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 11, 2012 | ASA(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2012 | Guaratinguetá(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 31, 2012 | Criciuma(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
São Caetano score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guarani Campinas score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Caetano | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Guarani Campinas | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy