São Caetano vs Guarani Campinas: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 25, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Anacleto Campanella, São Caetano do Sul, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of São Caetano vs Guarani Campinas?
Guarani Campinas won 1-2 on August 25, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 20′Éder Marcelo PrudêncioSão Caetano
- 64′José Fernando FumagalliGuarani Campinas (pen.)
- 85′Rodrigo Antônio Magalhães Alves PereiraGuarani Campinas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São Caetano have 8 wins, 7 draws and 0 defeats; Guarani Campinas have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2012 | Goias(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2012 | BOA(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Criciuma(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2012 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 1, 2012 | Vitoria(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2012 | CRB(home) | 4-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2012 | Avai(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 11, 2012 | ASA(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2012 | Guaratinguetá(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 31, 2012 | Criciuma(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
São Caetano score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guarani Campinas score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Caetano | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Guarani Campinas | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy