Grêmio Barueri vs Macaé: result 1-3 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 6Kick-off on July 27, 2013 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Prefeito José Liberatti, Osasco, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Grêmio Barueri vs Macaé?
Macaé won 1-3 on July 27, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 3′Gedeil da Silva DaudtMacaé
- 16′Tiago MarquesGrêmio Barueri
- 65′Sergio Junior Guimarães da SilvaMacaé
- 69′Sergio Junior Guimarães da SilvaMacaé
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grêmio Barueri have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Macaé have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2013 | Mogi Mirim(away) | 1-3 | Serie C |
| Jul 14, 2013 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 6, 2013 | Ipatinga(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 9, 2013 | CRAC(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 2, 2013 | Vila Nova(away) | 1-3 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2013 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 14, 2013 | Ipatinga(away) | 0-3 | Serie C |
| Jul 6, 2013 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 12, 2013 | Madureira(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 4, 2013 | Caxias(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Grêmio Barueri score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Macaé score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio Barueri | 1.3 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Macaé | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy