Guarani Campinas vs Duque de Caxias: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 6Kick-off on July 28, 2013 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa, Campinas, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Guarani Campinas vs Duque de Caxias?
Guarani Campinas won 1-0 on July 28, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 42′José Fernando FumagalliGuarani Campinas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guarani Campinas have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Duque de Caxias have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2013 | Macaé(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 14, 2013 | Grêmio Barueri(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 6, 2013 | Caxias(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 9, 2013 | Mogi Mirim(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 1, 2013 | Madureira(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2013 | Ipatinga(home) | 3-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 13, 2013 | Madureira(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 6, 2013 | Macaé(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 9, 2013 | Vila Nova(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 1, 2013 | Mogi Mirim(away) | 2-3 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Guarani Campinas score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Duque de Caxias score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani Campinas | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Duque de Caxias | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Guarani Campinas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy