Gremio vs Atletico-MG: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 16Kick-off on July 23, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Atletico-MG?
Gremio won 1-0 on July 23, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 11′RonaldGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Atletico-MG have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2023 | Bahia(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 9, 2023 | Botafogo(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 5, 2023 | Bahia(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Bahia(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 25, 2023 | Coritiba(home) | 5-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2023 | Goias(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Corinthians(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 2, 2023 | America Mineiro(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 27, 2023 | Libertad Asuncion(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Atletico-MG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2021 | Gremio 4-3 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 4, 2021 | Atletico-MG 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jan 20, 2021 | Gremio 1-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Atletico-MG 3-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Atletico-MG 1-4 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 25, 2019 | Gremio 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Gremio vs Atletico-MG on Dec 10, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 7th (33 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy