Gremio vs Atletico-MG: result 4-3 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 38Kick-off on December 10, 2021 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Atletico-MG?
Gremio won 4-3 on December 10, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 6′Diego SouzaGremio
- 11′J. CampazGremio
- 20′Diego SouzaGremio
- 26′DodôAtletico-MG
- 35′E. VargasAtletico-MG
- 59′Douglas CostaGremio
- 90′HyoranAtletico-MG
Official lineup for Gremio vs Atletico-MG
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Gremio
4-2-3-1- 11Ferreira
- 29Diego Souza
- 7J. Campaz
- 16Lucas Silva
- 5Thiago Santos
- 10Douglas Costa
- 44Ruan Tressoldi
- 26Rodrigues
- 32Diogo Barbosa
- 13Rafinha
- 34Gabriel Grando
Atletico-MG
4-2-3-1- 18Eduardo Sasha
- 10E. Vargas
- 30D. Borrero
- 27Calebe
- 17J. Savarino
- 37Tchê Tchê
- 45Micael
- 2Guga
- 40Nathan Silva
- 6Dodô
- 32Rafael
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Atletico-MG have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | Corinthians(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Dec 2, 2021 | Sao Paulo(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Bahia(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Nov 24, 2021 | Flamengo(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | RB Bragantino(home) | 4-3 | Serie A |
| Dec 2, 2021 | Bahia(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Fluminense(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 24, 2021 | Palmeiras(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Juventude(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gremio wins, 1 draw, 2 Atletico-MG wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2021 | Atletico-MG 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jan 20, 2021 | Gremio 1-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Atletico-MG 3-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Atletico-MG 1-4 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 25, 2019 | Gremio 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Atletico-MG 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 2.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 18th in Serie A (31 points from 30 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 7th (47 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 47 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 31 |
A question about Gremio vs Atletico-MG?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy