Gremio vs Botafogo: result 5-3 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 2Kick-off on February 5, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Botafogo?
Gremio won 5-3 on February 5, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 17′Arthur CabralBotafogo
- 26′Carlos ViníciusGremio
- 36′Danilo SantosBotafogo
- 50′Carlos ViníciusGremio
- 57′Carlos ViníciusGremio (pen.)
- 60′TetêGremio
- 79′EdenílsonGremio
- 86′Danilo SantosBotafogo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Botafogo have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 1-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Fluminense(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Internacional(away) | 2-4 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Guarany de Bagé(away) | 2-0 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | São Luiz(home) | 5-0 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 0-1 | Carioca - 1 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Cruzeiro(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Bangu(home) | 2-0 | Carioca - 1 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Volta Redonda(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 1 |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Sampaio Corrêa RJ(away) | 1-2 | Carioca - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gremio win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Botafogo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Botafogo 3-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Gremio 1-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Botafogo 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Gremio 1-2 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2023 | Botafogo 3-4 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 9, 2023 | Gremio 0-2 Botafogo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Botafogo score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Botafogo | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Botafogo sit 11th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 30 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy