Gremio vs Corinthians: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 17, 2013 at 12:50 AM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Corinthians?
Gremio won 1-0 on October 17, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 50′H. BarcosGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Corinthians have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2013 | Fluminense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Botafogo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2013 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2013 | Vitoria(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2013 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2013 | Bahia(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Portuguesa(away) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2013 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2013 | Ponte Preta(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gremio win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Corinthians win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2012 | Corinthians 3-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 10, 2012 | Gremio 2-0 Corinthians | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2011 | Corinthians 3-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 22, 2011 | Gremio 1-2 Corinthians | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2010 | Corinthians 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 16, 2010 | Gremio 1-2 Corinthians | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Corinthians score 0.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Corinthians | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Corinthians sit 9th (32 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Corinthians | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 32 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy