Gremio vs Cruzeiro: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 12, 2017 at 12:45 AM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Cruzeiro?
Cruzeiro won 0-1 on October 12, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 69′Rafael Augusto Sóbis do NascimentoCruzeiro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cruzeiro have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2017 | Fluminense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Bahia(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2017 | Sport Recife(home) | 5-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2017 | Ponte Preta(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2017 | Corinthians(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2017 | Flamengo(home) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Bahia(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gremio win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Cruzeiro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2017 | Cruzeiro 2-0 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 17, 2017 | Gremio 1-0 Cruzeiro | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jun 19, 2017 | Cruzeiro 3-3 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 2, 2016 | Gremio 0-0 Cruzeiro | Copa Do Brasil |
| Oct 26, 2016 | Cruzeiro 0-2 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Cruzeiro 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cruzeiro score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.2 | 0.7 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Cruzeiro | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Cruzeiro sit 5th (39 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 39 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy