Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 12, 2017 at 12:45 AM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo?
Atletico-MG won 1-0 on October 12, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 52′Fábio SantosAtletico-MG (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Sao Paulo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2017 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Vitoria(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Avai(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 27, 2017 | Ponte Preta(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2017 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Corinthians(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Vitoria(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Ponte Preta(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 27, 2017 | Palmeiras(away) | 2-4 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Atletico-MG win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sao Paulo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2017 | Sao Paulo 1-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Atletico-MG 1-2 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Aug 4, 2016 | Sao Paulo 1-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2015 | Sao Paulo 4-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jul 30, 2015 | Atletico-MG 3-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2014 | Atletico-MG 1-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG on Jun 18, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.6 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 7th in Serie A (33 points from 23 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 13th (27 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy