Gremio vs Fortaleza EC: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 14Kick-off on July 29, 2025 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Fortaleza EC?
Gremio won 2-1 on July 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 12′M. BraithwaiteGremio (pen.)
- 17′M. BraithwaiteGremio (pen.)
- 24′DeyversonFortaleza EC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Fortaleza EC have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2025 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Alianza Lima(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Alianza Lima(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | RB Bragantino(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Bahia(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Ceara(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2025 | Bahia(away) | 1-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Santos(home) | 2-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gremio win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Fortaleza EC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2024 | Gremio 3-1 Fortaleza EC | Serie A |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Fortaleza EC 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Fortaleza EC 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 14, 2023 | Gremio 0-0 Fortaleza EC | Serie A |
| Oct 13, 2021 | Fortaleza EC 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 27, 2021 | Gremio 0-0 Fortaleza EC | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Gremio vs Fortaleza EC on Oct 5, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza EC score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 0.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Fortaleza EC | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy