Atletico-MG vs Sport Recife: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 8, 2025 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Sport Recife?
Atletico-MG won 3-1 on October 8, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 9′Vitor HugoAtletico-MG
- 38′Guilherme AranaAtletico-MG
- 62′RonyAtletico-MG
- 82′Derik LacerdaSport Recife (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sport Recife have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Fluminense(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Juventude(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Mirassol(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Bolívar(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Botafogo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Fluminense(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Corinthians(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | RB Bragantino(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Atletico-MG win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sport Recife win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2024 | Sport Recife 1-0 Atletico-MG | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 1, 2024 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Sport Recife | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Atletico-MG 3-0 Sport Recife | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2021 | Sport Recife 0-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Sport Recife 2-3 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Atletico-MG 0-0 Sport Recife | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Sport Recife vs Atletico-MG on May 22, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sport Recife score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Sport Recife | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy