Gremio vs Joinville: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 16, 2015 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Joinville?
Gremio won 2-1 on August 16, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 3′Bruno AguiarJoinville
- 61′Frickson Rafael Erazo ViveroGremio
- 84′Rafael GalhardoGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Joinville have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2015 | Atletico-MG(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 9, 2015 | Internacional(home) | 5-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 1, 2015 | Fluminense(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 25, 2015 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 18, 2015 | Flamengo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2015 | Cruzeiro(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 9, 2015 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 2, 2015 | Avai(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 26, 2015 | Santos(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 19, 2015 | Ponte Preta(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Joinville score 0.8 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Joinville | 0.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy