Gremio vs Palmeiras: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 22, 2023 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Palmeiras?
Gremio won 1-0 on September 22, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 9′João PedroGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Palmeiras have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2023 | Corinthians(away) | 4-4 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2023 | RB Bragantino(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Cuiaba(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Cruzeiro(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Santos(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2023 | Goias(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Corinthians(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Deportivo Pereira(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2023 | Deportivo Pereira(away) | 4-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Palmeiras win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2023 | Palmeiras 4-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Gremio 1-3 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Jul 7, 2021 | Palmeiras 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Palmeiras 2-0 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 1, 2021 | Gremio 0-1 Palmeiras | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Palmeiras 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Palmeiras score 1.3 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Palmeiras | 1.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Palmeiras sit 1st (48 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 48 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy