Gremio vs Palmeiras: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 26, 2025 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Palmeiras?
Gremio won 3-2 on November 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 24′F. TorresPalmeiras
- 45′F. AmuzuGremio
- 61′Carlos ViníciusGremio (pen.)
- 85′WillianGremio (pen.)
- 90′BenedettiPalmeiras
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Palmeiras have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Botafogo(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Corinthians(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Fluminense(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Vitoria(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Santos(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Mirassol(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Santos(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Palmeiras win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2025 | Palmeiras 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Palmeiras 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Gremio 2-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Gremio 1-0 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| May 11, 2023 | Palmeiras 4-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Gremio 1-3 Palmeiras | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Palmeiras score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Palmeiras | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Palmeiras sit 1st (48 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 48 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy