Palmeiras vs Gremio: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 17Kick-off on July 27, 2025 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Allianz Parque, São Paulo, São Paulo
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What was the result of Palmeiras vs Gremio?
Palmeiras won 1-0 on July 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 3′F. TorresPalmeiras
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palmeiras have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Gremio have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2025 | Fluminense(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Atletico-MG(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Mirassol(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Chelsea(home) | 1-2 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2025 | Alianza Lima(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Alianza Lima(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Corinthians(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Palmeiras win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | Palmeiras 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Gremio 2-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Gremio 1-0 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| May 11, 2023 | Palmeiras 4-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Gremio 1-3 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Jul 7, 2021 | Palmeiras 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Palmeiras score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | 1.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Gremio | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palmeiras sit 1st in Serie A (51 points from 24 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 51 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy