GREVAL vs Candango: prediction and stats
Brasiliense BRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes GREVAL the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Candango. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GREVAL vs Candango?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate GREVAL (1,535) and Candango (1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, GREVAL have 5 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Candango have 1, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | ARUC(home) | 0-5 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Cruzeiro FC(away) | 2-1 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Riacho City(home) | 2-3 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Planaltina DF(home) | 0-2 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Candango(away) | 4-3 | Brasiliense B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Brasília(away) | 0-6 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Luziânia(away) | 0-2 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Planaltina DF(home) | 0-7 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Cruzeiro FC(away) | 0-5 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 14, 2025 | GREVAL(home) | 3-4 | Brasiliense B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 GREVAL win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Candango win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Candango 3-4 GREVAL | Brasiliense B |
How many goals should we expect?
GREVAL score 1.1 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 14; Candango score 0.6 and concede 5.0. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GREVAL | 1.1 | 2.9 | 2 | 4/14 | 10/14 |
| Candango | 0.6 | 5.0 | 1 | 1/7 | 5/7 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GREVAL vs Candango?
- The Footlab model makes GREVAL the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Candango.
- Where and when is GREVAL vs Candango played?
- GREVAL vs Candango is played on September 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Brasiliense B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.