Groene Ster vs Blauw Geel: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Pronsenbroek, Heerlen
The Footlab AI model makes Blauw Geel the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Groene Ster. The most likely score is 1-1. If Blauw Geel wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Groene Ster vs Blauw Geel?
Blauw Geel starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,741 vs 1,621).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Groene Ster vs Blauw Geel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Groene Ster
4-3-3- 9Bjorn Stassen
- 21L. Golsteijn
- 11S. Ahidar
- 27M. Germonprez
- 18T. Hajjaji
- 8B. Simons
- 17D. Stassar
- 23D. Zwartjes
- 2J. de Kleijn
- 10C. Ghijsen
- 1M. Voss
Blauw Geel
4-2-3-1- 9L. Loermans
- 11Koen van der Zanden
- 7B. van den Nieuwenhof
- 6M. van Rosmalen
- 9D. de Meij
- 8H. van Dijk
- 3R. Voets
- 4D. Arts
- 5B. Eltink
- 4M. Zeller
- 1J. Zielschot
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Groene Ster have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Blauw Geel have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Dongen(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 1-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Groene Ster wins, 1 draw, 5 Blauw Geel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Blauw Geel 4-0 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Groene Ster 0-1 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 12, 2024 | Groene Ster 0-3 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Blauw Geel 1-0 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Blauw Geel 1-1 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 5, 2022 | Groene Ster 1-4 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
Last archived meeting: Blauw Geel vs Groene Ster on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Groene Ster score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Blauw Geel score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groene Ster | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Blauw Geel | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Groene Ster sit 15th in Derde Divisie (9 points from 11 matches) and Blauw Geel sit 11th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 15 | Groene Ster | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 9 |
A question about Groene Ster vs Blauw Geel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Groene Ster vs Blauw Geel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Blauw Geel the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Groene Ster.
- Where and when is Groene Ster vs Blauw Geel played?
- Groene Ster vs Blauw Geel is played on April 25, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Pronsenbroek, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.