Grohn vs Hemelingen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 30Kick-off on May 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Hemelingen the favourite at 59%, against 18% for a draw and 23% for Grohn. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grohn vs Hemelingen?
Hemelingen starts as the favourite with a 260-point Elo edge (1,998 vs 1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Grohn have 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Hemelingen have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | OSC Bremerhaven(home) | 0-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hannover 96(home) | 1-9 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leher TS(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brinkumer SV(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Borussia Hildesheim(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Vatan Sport(home) | 7-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
How many goals should we expect?
Grohn score 0.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 3; Hemelingen score 3.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grohn | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
| Hemelingen | 3.7 | 1.3 | 8 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grohn sit 9th in Oberliga - Bremen (4 points from 3 matches) and Hemelingen sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hemelingen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Grohn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grohn vs Hemelingen?
- The Footlab model makes Hemelingen the favourite at 59%, against 18% for a draw and 23% for Grohn.
- Where and when is Grohn vs Hemelingen played?
- Grohn vs Hemelingen is played on May 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.