Hemelingen vs Grohn: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)BSA Hemelingen - Platz 1, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Hemelingen the favourite at 73%, against 14% for a draw and 13% for Grohn. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hemelingen vs Grohn?
Hemelingen starts as the favourite with a 260-point Elo edge (2,000 vs 1,740).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemelingen have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Grohn have 1, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hannover 96(home) | 1-9 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leher TS(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brinkumer SV(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Borussia Hildesheim(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Vatan Sport(home) | 7-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | OSC Bremerhaven(home) | 0-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
How many goals should we expect?
Hemelingen score 3.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Grohn score 0.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hemelingen | 3.7 | 1.3 | 8 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Grohn | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hemelingen sit 5th in Oberliga - Bremen (6 points from 2 matches) and Grohn sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hemelingen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Grohn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hemelingen vs Grohn?
- The Footlab model makes Hemelingen the favourite at 73%, against 14% for a draw and 13% for Grohn.
- Where and when is Hemelingen vs Grohn played?
- Hemelingen vs Grohn is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at BSA Hemelingen - Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.