Guadalajara vs Salamanca UDS: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara
The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Salamanca UDS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guadalajara vs Salamanca UDS?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Guadalajara (1,882) and Salamanca UDS (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Salamanca UDS have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Marchamalo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Avilés(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Lealtad(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Salamanca UDS score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Salamanca UDS | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 60 | 22 | 74 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guadalajara vs Salamanca UDS?
- The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Salamanca UDS.
- Where and when is Guadalajara vs Salamanca UDS played?
- Guadalajara vs Salamanca UDS is played on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Escartín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.