Match

Salamanca UDS vs Calvo Sotelo: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Helmántico, Salamanca

Salamanca UDSCalvo Sotelo

The Footlab model makes Salamanca UDS the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Calvo Sotelo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Salamanca UDS vs Calvo Sotelo?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Salamanca UDS (1,874) and Calvo Sotelo (1,938).

Salamanca UDS win37 %
Draw28 %
Calvo Sotelo win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salamanca UDS have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Calvo Sotelo have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Salamanca UDS
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)0-5Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Lealtad(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Burgos Promesas(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Calvo Sotelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026La Solana(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 3, 2026Toledo(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 26, 2026Cazalegas(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 19, 2026Huracán Balazote(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 12, 2026Guadalajara II(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

How many goals should we expect?

Salamanca UDS score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Calvo Sotelo score 1.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Salamanca UDS1.01.537/157/15
Calvo Sotelo1.70.687/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Salamanca UDS vs Calvo Sotelo?
The Footlab model makes Salamanca UDS the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Calvo Sotelo.
Where and when is Salamanca UDS vs Calvo Sotelo played?
Salamanca UDS vs Calvo Sotelo is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Helmántico, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Salamanca UDS and Calvo Sotelo

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