Guaratinguetá vs Duque de Caxias: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 4Kick-off on May 18, 2014 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Professor Dario Rodrigues Leite, Guaratinguetá, São Paulo
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What was the result of Guaratinguetá vs Duque de Caxias?
Guaratinguetá and Duque de Caxias drew 1-1 on May 18, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 30′MarquinhoGuaratinguetá
- 35′Gleisson Jorge Souza FreireDuque de Caxias
Official lineup for Guaratinguetá vs Duque de Caxias
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Guaratinguetá
- MMarquinho
- AAndré Castro
- FFrancis José da Silva
- CCamacho
- RRafinha
- MMatheuzinho
- NNadson
- JJoão Paulo
- DDidi
- LLeandro Nunes Velicka
- FFelipe Alves
Duque de Caxias
- GGleisson Jorge Souza Freire
- RRafael de Sa Rodrigues
- BBruno Arrabal Passamani
- HHarison
- SSampson
- FFabricio Brandao Santos
- HHenrique Motta
- AAlan Henrique
- BBruno Moura
- MMatheus Augusto Destro
- EElinton Sanchotene Andrade
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guaratinguetá have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Duque de Caxias have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2014 | Tupi(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| May 3, 2014 | Caxias(home) | 2-2 | Serie C |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Mogi Mirim(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Parana(home) | 3-4 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2014 | Juventude(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| May 3, 2014 | Mogi Mirim(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Madureira(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Caxias(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 5, 2013 | CRAC(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Guaratinguetá score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Duque de Caxias score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guaratinguetá | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Duque de Caxias | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy