Guaratinguetá vs Duque de Caxias: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 4Kick-off on May 18, 2014 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Professor Dario Rodrigues Leite, Guaratinguetá, São Paulo
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What was the result of Guaratinguetá vs Duque de Caxias?
Guaratinguetá and Duque de Caxias drew 1-1 on May 18, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 30′MarquinhoGuaratinguetá
- 35′Gleisson Jorge Souza FreireDuque de Caxias
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guaratinguetá have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Duque de Caxias have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2014 | Tupi(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| May 3, 2014 | Caxias(home) | 2-2 | Serie C |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Mogi Mirim(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Parana(home) | 3-4 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2014 | Juventude(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| May 3, 2014 | Mogi Mirim(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Madureira(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Caxias(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 5, 2013 | CRAC(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Guaratinguetá score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Duque de Caxias score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guaratinguetá | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Duque de Caxias | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy